The AI Reader.
Sunday, September 6, 202644 min read
Working Knowledge · The Instruments

A model that only guesses the base rate scores zero calibration error

Expected calibration error checks whether a model's stated confidence matches how often it is right, and a coarse enough set of bins can hide most of the miscalibration it is meant to catch.

10 min read8 sources
Working Knowledge · The Mechanics

A reasoning model spends 901 tokens to answer 2 plus 3

Reinforcement learning taught it to run long without a gauge for when a question is easy, so on simple inputs the extra thinking mostly burns compute and leaves the answer alone.

9 min read8 sources
Working Knowledge · What Could Go Wrong

Control caught the backdoors until the model attacked the monitor

Redwood's best protocol scored 92 percent safety on a code test by pitting a weak trusted model against a strong untrusted one, a number that measures one red team's attack and no other.

9 min read8 sources
Working Knowledge · The Evidence

The biggest models now train with dropout turned down or off

Srivastava and Hinton's 2014 paper cut CIFAR-10 error to 12.61% and led the small benchmarks of its day, then showed in its own experiments why models trained on far more data need it less.

8 min read7 sources
Working Knowledge · When AI Breaks

The ShotSpotter alert that jailed Michael Williams began as a firecracker

Cook County jailed him for eleven months on an alert a reviewer had moved a mile to the street where he was driving.

8 min read10 sources